michigan nascar fantasy picks

Larson is a three-time winner at Michigan and Hendrick Motorsports has had the strongest cars all season. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun fantasy sports system. At Fontana, the No. Joey Logano, Austin Dillon, Daniel Suarez and Denny Hamlin were the only full-time Cup Series drivers who bested Almirolas average finish of 12.3 in these events last year. The Michigan State Spartans (17-10, 9-7 Big Ten) and Iowa Hawkeyes (17-11, 9-8) meet Saturday at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. The 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway Kevin Harvick has won this race three times in the previous four years The race for positions in the NASCAR Drivers Championship continues this weekend, as the FireKeepers Casino 400 is staged at Michigan International JOEY LOGANO (3): I will take a chance with Logano this week because he participated in the test session at Michigan in May and Ford has won the last seven races at this track. Ill note, it wasnt a huge issue, but it certainly didnt help. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on. People will use Bowman and Harvick priced just above him, and Bubba Wallace priced slightly below him. The gamble seems to be paying off. He ranks seventh in both laps led (316) and fastest laps (207) despite a slow start to the season. ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook. Our NASCAR driver rankings have the top 35 drivers, each with a commentary on their 2017 ET . Of all the drivers currently in the top 10 in points, the driver to avoid at Michigan is Ryan Newman. Instead of selecting the winning team or manufacturer, we will earn 10 bonus points for selecting the driver who finishes the best in a Head-to-Head matchup. Michigan State is 15-14-0 ATS this season. Dillon/Suarez as well with Alex Bowman rounding it out. The optimal DraftKings lineup for Michigan according to my Projections is: Confidence Rating = 7.6/10. That said, Buschs afternoon wasnt incident free. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. In 2020 #2, Busch started 16th, but he had no trouble advancing in the running order en route to his 4th place finish. 2022 TOP 200 Fantasy Football Rankings, TOP 200 PPR Cheatsheets TOP 200 PPR Draft / Draft Rankings We are working hard to bring you all the info you'll need for your fantasy NASCAR league. The Thanks for choosing to comment on this article. AJ Allmendinger ($6,400)Career at Auto Club: 14 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 2 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 19.4. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, I think the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, look for Kyle Busch to be a top five contender wholl be a factor to win. This is kind of like looking at the qualifying speeds, but I find that the practice speeds are a more valuable tool. Larson hasnt visited victory lane since February, but that was at Auto Club, the one other big 2.0-mile high-speed intermediate track on the schedule. The DraftKings NASCAR Cup Series AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas slate locks at 3:30 p.m. Ill note, Larson did have a hiccup along the way. We have some tracks that are coming up on the schedule that I think we should win. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. On Saturday, Erik will start from back in 23rd and I really like his top 10 finishing potential with that place differential potential. That means we only need our top drivers from the race this week at Michigan and the race at Richmond (except Chase Elliott. The latest in the sports world, emailed daily. 5 Hendrick Motorsports driver had some good green flag speed last year at the high tire wear tracks as well as Michigan International Speedway, the other 2-mile course on the circuit. ET, USA). my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds, translates to an implied probability of 51.22%. I will have Reddick in the Garage just in case he dominates again Sunday. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. Absolutely, but not likely. The rest of the drivers are all in play this week. 9 car for Watkins Glen). Anthony Alfredo Aggressive Lineup (GPP) 1. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). Ryan Blaney ($9,000) If Chase Elliott is a little too risky for you, then go one position further back on the starting grid and consider Ryan Blaney. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. Daytona 500 2023, Fantasy Nascar. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. Top 125 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Dynasty League Strategy for 2023, NL Spring Training Battles with Fantasy Relevance, 10 Players Most Likely to See Their ADP Change Based on Spring Training Performance, FantraxHQ 2023 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit, Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, H2H Points League Strategy for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Top 200 2022 FYPD Prospect Rankings for 2023 Dynasty Drafts, Compete for Cash Prizes in a Fantrax Classic Draft Contest, Get ready for the season with a mock draft on Fantrax.com, Create your own league or join an existing league with Fantrax Commissioner. That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. Hes fast this weekend, has been fast at similar tracks, and starts close enough to the front to reduce his usage levels. A name and email address are required to post a comment. These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. Could Kyle Busch get one Sunday? 2021 Fantasy Racing Tips. Since Auto Club is so wide, it may reward Chastains aggressive driving style should he slide around and dive deep under cars. Another part of McClure's NASCAR DFS strategy includes rostering Tyler Reddick ($9,700 on DraftKings and $11,500 on FanDuel). Logano posted the fastest speed in practice on the five-lap speed chart and he qualified fourth for the race. I love this track; its had some great races in the last few years thanks to its high tire wear. Stenhouse got to the front when it mattered and became a Daytona 500 champion last week. He led just 28 laps in the race, but that was all he needed to bring home his first victory of 2022. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. The question is, what is his upside? Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Michigan State vs. Iowa game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. In that contest, the top score was 291.4 and won $300 with race winner Tyler Reddick, Cindric, Michael McDowell, Bubba Wallace, Harrison Burton, and Gilliland. As far as DraftKings scoring, the rules are the same as last season: 0.45 points for each fastest lap and 0.25 for each lap led. It only takes one poor finish to ruin your week in fantasy NASCAR, and by steering clear of Ryan Newman, this should help your chances of avoiding a poor finish. Tune in Sunday at 3 p.m. This is a very safe cash lineup to use, in my opinion. If this does happen, there would be some really good value on DraftKings, since so many top drivers crashed at Daytona International Speedway last week. This is race No. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. At Michigan, it is incredibly difficult to pass the leader, so its hard to imagine Larson not dominating at least the first half of the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. Stay tuned for full race analysis and best bets coming later this week! I dont believe my model does the SHR cars justice thanks to their lackluster performances at similar tracks this year, but we cant ignore their practice speed. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings NASCAR salaries for Saturday. Michigan is one of my favorite tracks. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. He led 90 of the 200 laps but bounced off the wall one too many times in the race. In 2022 over the combined races at high-speed intermediate tracks (Auto Club, Las Vegas Kansas and Charlotte), Larson has a series best 3.5 average finish, the best driver rating and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking is the 4th best. The fifth and final spot on a fantasy team may not seem that important, but I believe selecting a good fifth driver is what separates good teams from bad teams. And then the third table is the last four races of data from here at Michigan specifically. Michigan has been on of Vickers best tracks, with the last three races resulting in three top 10s, including one win and an AFP of 6.67. Jones also won at Darlington last fall after Busch and Truex had engine trouble. NASCAR is running the 550hp package this weekend. He finished 5th, 2nd, 6th and 2nd in his last four races at Michigan. Now without further ado, lets goooo!!!! Welcome back to victory lane, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and JTG Daugherty Racing! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. Michigan is usually a pretty green race, so well likely see about 160 green flag laps, which would equal 72 possible DraftKings FPTS for fastest laps. By Pearce Dietrich Aug 3, 2022, 12:31pm PDT WebSportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2 million in winnings, gives his top NASCAR daily Fantasy picks This chart measures speed by segments in each race. Usually the scheduled is filled with 1.5 and 2-mile ovals, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, Chicago and California with road courses. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. In 2019, Busch had a great season and had results of 5th and 6th. Alex Bowman 3. 2023 Frontstretch NASCAR DraftKings League Now, here are my picks! He might. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks, Top 500 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, Fantasy 101: How to Play Rotisserie Baseball, 2023 Fantasy Baseball Position Eligibility, Fantasy EPL 101 How to Play Draft Premier League. Michigan Track History Tyler Reddick has finished worse in each new Michigan race of his, and I think that trend will end. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. ET on Sunday. And although he's yet to have a standout performance at Michigan, you could have said the same about Reddick at Road America and The Brickyard, and he went out and won both of those races. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? The bonus picks are changing for the 2022 season and will revolve around four head-to-head matchups each race weekend. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series' Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway goes green on Sunday, Feb. 26. Michigan has long been a great track for Busch, and in 2022 at high-speed intermediate tracks where theres correlation, Busch has been fast and has been a contender to win the last three races. WebNASCAR and its marks are trademarks of the National Association for Stock Car Auto Racing, LLC. That came just four weeks after his first win -- and he also had a runner-up in between -- so Reddick is streaking heading into Michigan. and give one of our public leagues a go. With one Michigan victory already under his belt in 2011, Busch is still experiencing only successes at the D-shaped oval track. ET Fantasy Football. So, should you consider a NASCAR at Michigan DFS stack with Keselowski and teammate Chris Buescher, or should your attention be elsewhere? Additionally, he placed third at Homestead last fall, posting the fifth-fastest green flag speed. In his last five races at Michigan, Denny Hamlin has been the most dominant of any driver in the Sprint Cup series. (MA), Arnold Palmer Invitational Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings, PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values, PGA Models: FantasyLabs PGA Perfect% and SimLeverage, FanDuel Promo Code: Grab a $1K First Bet for Wednesdays CBB, NBA Action, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks for Michigan: Fantasy NASCAR Strategy for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400. I would be surprised to see him finish this afternoon outside of the top 10. Kyle Busch ($10,300)Career at Auto Club: 23 starts, 4 wins, 11 top fives, 16 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 9.8. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you I think Busch already knows where he is racing next year but the organizations involved are waiting to dot the Is and cross the Ts before they make the announcement. When Busch won in 2019, he dominated, leading 134 laps. Michigan Track History Kyle Larson has been elite at Michigan. A price tag of -105 translates to an implied probability of 51.22%, which is way too rich for my blood considering the uncertainty that I detailed in the introduction. Ryan Blaney ($9300):Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. When looking at odds, you should only really use them to pick out the top two drivers for your team each week. Give me the fast car at a fast track. The first pick every team should make this week is to pick up Denny Hamlin. One of the races is on a road course and the other is at Daytona. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. In 2018 his finishes were 3rd and 4th. 11 car Sunday. Lets review the NASCAR DraftKings scoring rules. Trailing Busch is 2021 Cup Series champ Kyle Larson, who finished runner-up in this race last year, but has had a lackluster start to 2023, with finishes of 18th and 29th to kick off the campaign. Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. He wont be totally low-owned, but my model gives him a solid 21% chance to end up in the optimal lineup. All Rights Reserved. During the competition caution on lap 20, Busch had a long pit stop to repair damage to his nose after early contact with Truex which dropped him back into the 30s. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. 1 Trackhouse Racing Team Chevrolet didnt finish well in the first Darlington race, but he placed eighth in the Southern 500 and second at Homestead. However, I do like being underweight on him in tournament formats. : The Black Cat Auto Club Mystery Thats NASCARs Latest Animal Encounter, Reel Racing: The Evolution of Motorsports Films Across Disciplines, NASCAR Announces New Rules Package for Short Tracks, Road Courses, Dropping the Hammer: NASCARs Days of Future Past. On the other hand, Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Get more NASCAR DFS advice here. He's in a prime position to make a run at the checkered flag and comes at a price that won't break the bank. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Thats a good effort for him. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. Reddick will start from back in 14th for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400, but has legitimate top 10 finishing potential (and will be pushing a little harder with the Playoffs on the line these next two races). However, Almirola should easily be the second-most likely to win the group and has better than a 16.67% chance, which is what his +500 odds imply, to do so. In 2022, Stenhouse had the seventh-quickest green-flag speed and earned a top 10 by races end. And, as always, good luck! His model, which simulates every race 10,000 times, called seven outright winners last season. In the four races prior to that, Larsons results were 1st, 1st, 1st and 3rd. Please keep in mind that comments are moderated according to our comment policy. Copyright 1995 - 2023 Before that, McClure highlighted Hamlin at New Hampshire, who finished sixth after starting 14th. Christopher Bell 4. It has been a while since the series has competed on a large intermediate WebNASCAR Fantasy Live is the only NASCAR fantasy game to offer live scoring! Over the combined events, Reddick has the 2nd best driver rating and the 7th best Total Speed Ranking. Daytona 500 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings/ Post Duel Predictions. Truckin Thursdays: Ironman Matt Crafton Ready To Shake Off the Rust. Here are the rules for DraftKings' NASCAR fantasy game. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. Tyler Reddick ($9700):If theres one driver whos likely to break up the Toyota dominance, its last weeks winner at Indy, Tyler Reddick. Michigan International Speedway is the venue for the 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season (3:00 p.m. Lets not skip the best part myPerfect% metric a metric that tells you how often certain racers appear in the optimal lineup when running 10,000 race simulations. Picking Denny Hamlin for your team will not guarantee a win in your fantasy league, but picking him will help your chances of not losing since most of the other team owners will more than likely have him as well. Im just going to chalk up his result to him not closing well. The following are a couple of DFS lineups I plan to play in GPP contests. If that happens, youre looking to fill out the rest of your lineup mainly with place differential plays, and maybe one or two high finishing plays. Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. He's only sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The Spartans put up only 1.3 more points per game (70.2) than the Buckeyes I will use an allocation with Truex Sunday. The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. The best way to utilize the odds is to look at guys who are anywhere from 5/1 to 10/1 and build your team around these drivers. The 2022 NASCAR at Michigan green flag drops at 3 p.m. begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. Brad Keselowski's first year with RFK Racing hasn't gone as planned as he sits 29th in Cup Series standings after finishing in the top eight in each of the past five years. Tenth place scores 34, while 11th gets 32, and decreasing by one from there through 20th. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. A California native, Joy was raised as a motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001. In fact, if you want to positively correlate them in the optimizer settings while building lineups, Id suggest that avenue. Reddick has two wins this year and he will have a good chance to add a third to his playoff resume Sunday. Additionally, drivers can earn or lose a point depending on where they finish. That means Im willing to be more aggressive in choosing fast cars, regardless of where they start, instead of leaning into place differential more. Last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th. It was his best finish at this track, better than what he did with Joe Gibbs Racing. Now, he's turned his attention to Sunday's 2022 NASCAR at Michigan race and locked in his NASCAR DFS picks. Larson had a top 10 average speed in four of last years five events at high-tire wear tracks, including at Homestead en route to the win. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. GARAGE DRIVER: TYLER REDDICK (3): Reddick will have some momentum Sunday after his win at the Brickyard last week. Do not worry about allocations anymore. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Also, I will be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the Cup Series only. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. Kyle Larson ($11,500) Its always risky to roll with a high-priced pole sitter in DraftKings cash lineups, but this is Kyle Larson were talking about. A lot has changed since then, so take those statistics with a grain of salt, but the data from the last two years at these two tracks is very relevant. When teams are in practice, they are looking for the best set up for the car in race trim. But its the last time drivers will take on this 2-mile oval, as its set to be reconfigured to a half-mile track in the future. These were just single lap times, but where the good information lies in the 10 lap average speed. Pay no attention to Ross Chastains average finish at Fontana. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. Last year, Larson started on the pole, finished 2nd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, led a race high 70 laps, had a 3.2 average running position, earned the best driver rating and then finished 3rd when the checkered flag waved. Who Will Shine in the 2023 ARCA West Season? Kevin Harvick ($8400) and Aric Almirola ($6800)put up solid practice times, with little tire falloff over the long run. If you have any thoughts or ideas youd like to share, hit me up on Twitter at @thewonkypenguin. Although Chastain didnt have top 10 green flag speed at Auto Club in 2022, he did at both Darlington races, Michigan and Homestead. This includes eight races thus far: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, Charlotte, both Atlanta races, and both Pocono races. Theres no better time than now to give it a try!